MC Alger
vs
Khenchela
Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Alger
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.59.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
MC Alger vs Khenchela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MC Alger vs Khenchela
| Probability | MC Alger | Draw | Khenchela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 27.1% | 12.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.2% | 27.1% | 12.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why MC Alger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
MC Alger vs Khenchela match preview
MC Alger is favored to win against Khenchela with a probability of 54%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 17%. MC Alger has shown solid recent form, with their last five matches resulting in two wins, two draws, and one loss. In contrast, Khenchela has a mixed record, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games.
The expected goals for MC Alger stand at 1.40, while Khenchela is projected to score 0.64. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score at a rate of 37%. Historically, MC Alger has dominated their recent encounters with Khenchela, winning both of their last two meetings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
MC Alger and Khenchela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
MC Alger and Khenchela attack and defence ratings
MC Alger
Khenchela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
MC Alger vs Khenchela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 60.2% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Khenchela | 12.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Alger win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 39.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.0% |
| 2-0 | 14.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
MC Alger vs Khenchela stats
MC Alger and Khenchela recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
MC Alger and Khenchela season so far
Khenchela record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
MC Alger vs Khenchela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MC Alger | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Khenchela | MC Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.