Algeria Ligue 1 Β· Β·Matchday 8

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou

Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Oran

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 19% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.60.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
MC Oran 46%
Draw 35%
Olympique Akbou 19%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance MC Oran wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
80%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
31%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
19% of simulated outcomes

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou overview

Garuda Lions analysis: MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMC OranDrawOlympique Akbou
Model45.8%35.3%19.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final45.8%35.3%19.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why MC Oran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou match preview

MC Oran is favored in their upcoming match against Olympique Akbou, with a 55% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.36 for MC Oran and 0.56 for Olympique Akbou. Recent form shows MC Oran performing well with four wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Olympique Akbou has a mixed record of two wins, three draws, and one loss.

Historically, Olympique Akbou has had the upper hand in their last two encounters, winning both matches against MC Oran. The probabilities for a draw stand at 30%, while Olympique Akbou has a 14% chance of winning. Additionally, there is a 30% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams to score has a probability of 33%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

MC Oran ↓ / Olympique Akbo β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 10% 1 19% 13% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 51%
3+ goals 24%
No goals 20%

MC Oran and Olympique Akbou expected goals

MC Oran 1.08
Olympique Akbou 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.68

MC Oran and Olympique Akbou attack and defence ratings

MC Oran

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Olympique Akbou

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 MC Oran 45.8% 2.18 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.4% 1.31 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 69.1% 1.45 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.0% 1.23 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 54.2% 1.84 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2MC Oran45.8%
Draw35.3%
Olympique Akbou19.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.6%
Under 2.576.4%
Both teams to scoreYes30.9%
No69.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.0%
12 (either side)64.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1MC Oran win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)26.2%
Loss54.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.9%
1-019.0%
1-113.3%

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou stats

MC Oran and Olympique Akbou recent form

newest first
MC Oran DWWDWW
Olympique Akbou WWDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

MC Oran and Olympique Akbou season so far

league record

MC Oran record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Olympique Akbou record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0MC Oran wins 0Draws 2Olympique Akbou wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-03MC OranOlympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 10-1
2025-08-29Olympique AkbouMC OranAlgeria Ligue 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 MC Oran Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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