MC Alger
vs
MC Oran
Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Alger
1 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.50.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
MC Alger vs MC Oran overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MC Alger vs MC Oran
| Probability | MC Alger | Draw | MC Oran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 34.8% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.7% | 34.8% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why MC Alger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.50.
MC Alger vs MC Oran match preview
MC Alger faces MC Oran in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory, with MC Alger at 50% to win, compared to 16% for MC Oran. The model forecasts a most likely scoreline of 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.12 for MC Alger and only 0.50 for MC Oran. Recent form indicates that MC Alger has won three of their last six matches, while MC Oran has also shown solid performance with four wins in their last six.
In their last two head-to-head encounters, both teams have secured one victory each, indicating a competitive rivalry. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 22%, and both teams to score is at 28%, suggesting a low-scoring affair is more probable. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating moderate certainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
MC Alger and MC Oran expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
MC Alger and MC Oran attack and defence ratings
MC Alger
MC Oran
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
MC Alger vs MC Oran markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 49.7% |
| Draw | 34.8% | |
| MC Oran | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.8% |
| No | 72.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Alger win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.8% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.0% |
| 0-0 | 20.9% | |
| 2-0 | 12.3% |
MC Alger vs MC Oran stats
MC Alger and MC Oran recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
MC Alger and MC Oran season so far
MC Oran record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 6 matches.
MC Alger vs MC Oran head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | MC Oran | MC Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | MC Alger | MC Oran | Algeria Ligue 1 | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.