Algeria Ligue 1 Β· Postponed Β·Matchday 10

MC Oran vs JS Saoura

Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Oran

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 23% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.97 vs 0.39.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
MC Oran 50%
Draw 36%
JS Saoura 14%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance MC Oran wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
74%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
24%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
23% of simulated outcomes

MC Oran vs JS Saoura overview

Garuda Lions analysis: MC Oran vs JS Saoura

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMC OranDrawJS Saoura
Model50.1%36.2%13.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final50.1%36.2%13.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why MC Oran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.97 vs 0.39.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

MC Oran ↓ / JS Saoura β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 26% 1 24% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 74%
2+ goals 41%
3+ goals 16%
No goals 26%

MC Oran and JS Saoura expected goals

MC Oran 0.97
JS Saoura 0.39

Total expected goals: 1.37

MC Oran and JS Saoura attack and defence ratings

MC Oran

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.64 -36%

JS Saoura

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

MC Oran vs JS Saoura markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 MC Oran 50.1% 2.00 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81.3% 1.23 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 76.3% 1.31 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.2% 1.16 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 51.8% 1.93 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2MC Oran50.1%
Draw36.2%
JS Saoura13.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.518.7%
Under 2.581.3%
Both teams to scoreYes23.7%
No76.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.2%
12 (either side)63.8%
X2 (draw or away)49.9%
Handicap -1MC Oran win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)28.9%
Loss51.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.7%
1-023.0%
2-012.7%

MC Oran vs JS Saoura stats

MC Oran and JS Saoura recent form

newest first
MC Oran DWWDWW
JS Saoura DLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

MC Oran and JS Saoura season so far

league record

MC Oran record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.

JS Saoura record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

MC Oran vs JS Saoura head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0MC Oran wins 1Draws 1JS Saoura wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-13JS SaouraMC OranAlgeria Ligue 12-0
2025-10-18MC OranJS SaouraAlgeria Ligue 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

MC Oran vs JS Saoura odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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