Algeria Ligue 1 Β· Β·Matchday 11

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ben Aknoun

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ben Aknoun 34%
Draw 34%
MC Oran 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Ben Aknoun wins
34%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
82%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBen AknounDrawMC Oran
Model34.4%33.9%31.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final34.4%33.9%31.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran match preview

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran are set to clash in the Algeria Ligue 1 on December 1, 2026. The match presents a closely contested scenario, with our model giving Ben Aknoun a 34% chance of winning, while MC Oran has a 32% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Ben Aknoun, with an expected goals tally of 1.05 for them and 0.76 for MC Oran.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Ben Aknoun recording six consecutive draws and MC Oran having two wins in their last five matches. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 40%, while the chance of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31%. In their last two encounters, each team has one win, indicating a balanced rivalry.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ben Aknoun ↓ / MC Oran β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 11% 1 16% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran expected goals

Ben Aknoun 1.05
MC Oran 0.76

Total expected goals: 1.81

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran attack and defence ratings

Ben Aknoun

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.14 +14%

MC Oran

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ben Aknoun 34.4% 2.91 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.8% 1.45 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 59.7% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.3% 1.46 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ben Aknoun34.4%
Draw33.9%
MC Oran31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.2%
Under 2.568.8%
Both teams to scoreYes40.3%
No59.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)66.1%
X2 (draw or away)65.6%
Handicap -1Ben Aknoun win16.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.4%
1-114.9%
1-012.8%

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran stats

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran recent form

newest first
Ben Aknoun DDLDDD
MC Oran LDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran season so far

league record

Ben Aknoun record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

MC Oran record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Ben Aknoun wins 0Draws 1MC Oran wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-24Ben AknounMC OranAlgeria Ligue 12-1
2025-08-21MC OranBen AknounAlgeria Ligue 12-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Ben Aknoun Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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