USM Alger
vs
MC Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Alger
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
USM Alger vs MC Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: USM Alger vs MC Alger
| Probability | USM Alger | Draw | MC Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 32.2% | 38.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.8% | 32.2% | 38.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
USM Alger and MC Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.98
USM Alger and MC Alger attack and defence ratings
USM Alger
MC Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
USM Alger vs MC Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 29.8% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| MC Alger | 38.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Alger win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 0-1 | 12.2% |
USM Alger vs MC Alger stats
USM Alger and MC Alger recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
USM Alger and MC Alger season so far
USM Alger record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MC Alger record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
USM Alger vs MC Alger head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | MC Alger | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | USM Alger | MC Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.