JS El Biar
vs
ASO Chlef
Garuda Lions Prediction: JS El Biar
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
JS El Biar vs ASO Chlef overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JS El Biar vs ASO Chlef
| Probability | JS El Biar | Draw | ASO Chlef |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.9% | 21.2% | 13.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.9% | 21.2% | 13.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why JS El Biar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
JS El Biar vs ASO Chlef match preview
JS El Biar enters the match against ASO Chlef with a strong probability of winning at 66%, while ASO Chlef has a lower chance of 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-0 in favor of JS El Biar, with an 11% likelihood. The expected goals for JS El Biar stand at 2.02, compared to ASO Chlef's 0.85, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, JS El Biar has recorded a mixed performance with one win in their last five matches (L-D-W-L-D-W), while ASO Chlef has struggled, managing only one draw in their last six outings (L-D-D-D-L-L). The model suggests a 58% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 52% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
JS El Biar and ASO Chlef expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
JS El Biar and ASO Chlef attack and defence ratings
JS El Biar
ASO Chlef
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
JS El Biar vs ASO Chlef markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JS El Biar | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | JS El Biar win | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JS El Biar | 65.9% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| ASO Chlef | 13.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | JS El Biar win | 40.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 36.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 1-1 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
JS El Biar vs ASO Chlef stats
JS El Biar and ASO Chlef recent form
| JS El Biar |
LDWLDW |
| ASO Chlef |
LDDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JS El Biar and ASO Chlef season so far
JS El Biar record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
ASO Chlef record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.