US Biskra
vs
MB Rouisset
Garuda Lions Prediction: MB Rouisset
0 – 1 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.64.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
US Biskra vs MB Rouisset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Biskra vs MB Rouisset
| Probability | US Biskra | Draw | MB Rouisset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 33.1% | 49.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.8% | 33.1% | 49.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why MB Rouisset
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
US Biskra vs MB Rouisset match preview
US Biskra faces MB Rouisset in an Algeria Ligue 1 match where the probabilities indicate a challenging outing for the home side. US Biskra has an 18% chance of winning, while MB Rouisset is favored with a 49% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with an 18% likelihood, reflecting US Biskra's struggle to find the net, with expected goals of just 0.64 compared to MB Rouisset's 1.12.
In terms of recent form, US Biskra has struggled significantly, recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches. Conversely, MB Rouisset has shown better performance with two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The model suggests a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Biskra and MB Rouisset expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
US Biskra and MB Rouisset attack and defence ratings
US Biskra
MB Rouisset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
US Biskra vs MB Rouisset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MB Rouisset | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Biskra | 17.8% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| MB Rouisset | 49.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.2% |
| No | 66.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | MB Rouisset win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.9% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.4% |
| 0-0 | 17.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
US Biskra vs MB Rouisset stats
US Biskra and MB Rouisset recent form
| US Biskra |
DLLLLD |
| MB Rouisset |
DDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Biskra and MB Rouisset season so far
US Biskra record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MB Rouisset record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.