Khenchela
vs
ES Setif
Garuda Lions Prediction: Khenchela
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Khenchela vs ES Setif overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Khenchela vs ES Setif
| Probability | Khenchela | Draw | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 32.3% | 31.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.8% | 32.3% | 31.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Khenchela vs ES Setif match preview
Khenchela faces ES Setif in an upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match, with Khenchela holding a 36% probability of winning, while both a draw and an ES Setif victory are at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Khenchela, occurring with a 12% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Khenchela will score around 1.00, while ES Setif is projected to net approximately 1.17.
In terms of recent form, Khenchela has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, alongside one win and one draw. Conversely, ES Setif has shown a mixed performance with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Historically, Khenchela has not secured a win against ES Setif, with one draw and one loss in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Khenchela and ES Setif expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Khenchela and ES Setif attack and defence ratings
Khenchela
ES Setif
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Khenchela vs ES Setif markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 35.8% |
| Draw | 32.3% | |
| ES Setif | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Khenchela win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 70.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.7% |
Khenchela vs ES Setif stats
Khenchela and ES Setif recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Khenchela and ES Setif season so far
Khenchela record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
ES Setif record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Khenchela vs ES Setif head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | ES Setif | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Khenchela | ES Setif | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.