Young Africans
vs
MC Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: Young Africans
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.62.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Young Africans vs MC Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Young Africans vs MC Alger
| Probability | Young Africans | Draw | MC Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.6% | 28.2% | 14.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.6% | 28.2% | 14.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Young Africans
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.62.
Young Africans vs MC Alger match preview
Young Africans are set to face MC Alger in the CAF Champions League, with their model giving Young Africans a 58% chance of victory, while MC Alger stands at 14%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Young Africans, with a 17% probability. The expected goals for Young Africans is 1.50, compared to 0.62 for MC Alger, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Young Africans have recorded four wins and one draw in their last six matches, while MC Alger has experienced three wins and two losses in the same span. The model suggests a 36% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 37% likelihood that both teams will score, reflecting a potentially competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Young Africans and MC Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Young Africans and MC Alger attack and defence ratings
Young Africans
MC Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Regular season - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Young Africans vs MC Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 57.6% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| MC Alger | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.0% |
| No | 63.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.9% |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Young Africans vs MC Alger stats
Young Africans and MC Alger recent form
| Young Africans |
WWDWWL |
| MC Alger |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.