Pyramids FC
vs
Maghreb Fès
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pyramids FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.51.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Pyramids FC vs Maghreb Fès overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pyramids FC vs Maghreb Fès
| Probability | Pyramids FC | Draw | Maghreb Fès |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.3% | 20.2% | 7.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.3% | 20.2% | 7.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pyramids FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Pyramids FC vs Maghreb Fès match preview
Pyramids FC is heavily favored in their upcoming CAF Champions League match against Maghreb Fès, with a 72% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Pyramids FC stand at 2.02, while Maghreb Fès is projected to score only 0.51. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which has a 16% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Pyramids FC has been dominant, winning their last six matches, while Maghreb Fès has shown inconsistency with three wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six games. The probabilities indicate a 20% chance of a draw and a mere 7% for a Maghreb Fès victory. Additionally, there is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score has a 35% probability.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pyramids FC and Maghreb Fès expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Pyramids FC and Maghreb Fès attack and defence ratings
Pyramids FC
Maghreb Fès
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Regular season - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pyramids FC vs Maghreb Fès markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyramids FC | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Pyramids FC win | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyramids FC | 72.3% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Maghreb Fès | 7.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.4% |
| No | 64.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyramids FC win | 47.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 27.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 16.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.3% | |
| 3-0 | 10.9% |
Pyramids FC vs Maghreb Fès stats
Pyramids FC and Maghreb Fès recent form
| Pyramids FC |
WWWWWW |
| Maghreb Fès |
WLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.