Maghreb Fès
vs
FUS Rabat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maghreb Fès
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Maghreb Fès is the favourite, not a value bet.
Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat
| Probability | Maghreb Fès | Draw | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 39.3% | 22.5% |
| Market | 49.4% | 30.2% | 20.4% |
| Final | 46.6% | 32.5% | 20.9% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +2.3% | +0.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.5% per unit staked (our 46.6% × 1.90 − 1).
Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat match preview
Maghreb Fès is set to face FUS Rabat in the Botola Pro on November 7, 2026. According to our model, Maghreb Fès has a 47% probability of winning, while FUS Rabat stands at 21%, and a draw is estimated at 32%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Maghreb Fès, with an expected goals tally of 0.86 for them and 0.59 for FUS Rabat.
Recent form shows Maghreb Fès with a record of L-D-W-D-L-D, while FUS Rabat has performed slightly better with W-W-D-D-L-L. In their last ten encounters, Maghreb Fès has secured 2 wins, while FUS Rabat has only managed 1, with 7 matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maghreb Fès and FUS Rabat expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.45
Maghreb Fès and FUS Rabat attack and defence ratings
Maghreb Fès
FUS Rabat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maghreb Fès | 46.6% | 2.15 | -2.8% | 1.90 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maghreb Fès | 46.6% |
| Draw | 32.5% | |
| FUS Rabat | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.0% |
| No | 73.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maghreb Fès win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.6% |
| 1-0 | 18.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat stats
Maghreb Fès and FUS Rabat recent form
| Maghreb Fès |
LDWDLD |
| FUS Rabat |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maghreb Fès and FUS Rabat season so far
Maghreb Fès record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FUS Rabat record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | FUS Rabat | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Maghreb Fès | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 4-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Maghreb Fès | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-25 | FUS Rabat | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Maghreb Fès | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-03 | FUS Rabat | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-03 | Maghreb Fès | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-02 | FUS Rabat | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-19 | FUS Rabat | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-24 | Maghreb Fès | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 30.2%, away 20.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.05 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.05 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.03 | 4.58 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.80 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .