FAR Rabat
vs
Difaa EL Jadida
Garuda Lions Prediction: FAR Rabat
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.36.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FAR Rabat is the favourite, not a value bet.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida
| Probability | FAR Rabat | Draw | Difaa EL Jadida |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 25.2% | 28.4% |
| Market | 64.7% | 22.3% | 13.1% |
| Final | 60.1% | 23.0% | 16.9% |
| Edge | -4.6% | +0.7% | +3.8% |
Why FAR Rabat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.36.
Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.9% per unit staked (our 60.1% × 1.45 − 1).
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida match preview
FAR Rabat enters this match with a 51% probability of winning, while Difaa EL Jadida has a 24% chance. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from FAR Rabat at 1.85 compared to Difaa EL Jadida's 1.20. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of FAR Rabat, occurring with a 10% likelihood.
Recent form indicates FAR Rabat has been consistent with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Difaa EL Jadida has struggled, managing only two wins and suffering two losses in the same period. With a 60% chance of both teams scoring and a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals, this match promises to be competitive.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida attack and defence ratings
FAR Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 60.1% | 1.66 | -4.6% | 1.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 60.1% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Difaa EL Jadida | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAR Rabat win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida stats
FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida recent form
| FAR Rabat |
LDWWDD |
| Difaa EL Jadida |
DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida season so far
Difaa EL Jadida record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | FAR Rabat | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Difaa EL Jadida | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro | 0-4 |
| 2025-01-26 | FAR Rabat | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-02 | Difaa EL Jadida | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 22.3%, away 13.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.05 | 7.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 3.90 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.05 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 4.10 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.05 | 6.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 4.28 | 7.16 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .