Botola Pro Β· Β·Matchday 1

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

Garuda Lions Prediction: FAR Rabat

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat

FAR Rabat 37%
Draw 32%
Raja Casablanca 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FAR Rabat wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFAR RabatDrawRaja Casablanca
Model36.5%31.6%31.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final36.5%31.6%31.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why FAR Rabat

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca match preview

FAR Rabat faces Raja Casablanca in a Botola Pro clash with a kickoff scheduled for November 4, 2026. According to our model, FAR Rabat has a 37% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Raja Casablanca victory are each at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of FAR Rabat, with an 11% probability. Expected goals for FAR Rabat stand at 1.16, compared to 1.06 for Raja Casablanca.

In terms of recent form, FAR Rabat has recorded two wins and four draws in their last six matches, while Raja Casablanca has achieved one win and five draws in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record over the last four encounters shows FAR Rabat winning once and the teams drawing three times, with Raja Casablanca yet to secure a victory. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FAR Rabat ↓ / Raja Casablanc β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca expected goals

FAR Rabat 1.16
Raja Casablanca 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.22

FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca attack and defence ratings

FAR Rabat

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Raja Casablanca

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FAR Rabat 36.5% 2.74 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.7% 1.62 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.4% 1.46 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.58 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FAR Rabat36.5%
Draw31.6%
Raja Casablanca31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.3%
Under 2.561.7%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)68.4%
X2 (draw or away)63.5%
Handicap -1FAR Rabat win15.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.2%
1-011.2%

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca stats

FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca recent form

newest first
FAR Rabat WWDDWD
Raja Casablanca DWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1FAR Rabat wins 3Draws 0Raja Casablanca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-30FAR RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro2-1
2025-09-17Raja CasablancaFAR RabatBotola Pro0-0
2025-02-23FAR RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro0-0
2024-10-22Raja CasablancaFAR RabatBotola Pro0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 FAR Rabat Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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