Difaa EL Jadida
vs
UTS Rabat
Garuda Lions Prediction: UTS Rabat
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.24.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat
| Probability | Difaa EL Jadida | Draw | UTS Rabat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 26.3% | 46.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.2% | 26.3% | 46.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why UTS Rabat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat match preview
Difaa EL Jadida faces UTS Rabat in the Botola Pro with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. Our model assigns a 27% chance of victory for Difaa EL Jadida, while UTS Rabat has a 47% probability of winning, with a 26% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest a close contest, with Difaa EL Jadida projected to score 1.24 and UTS Rabat 1.68.
Recent form shows Difaa EL Jadida has struggled, recording two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while UTS Rabat has performed better, with three wins, two draws, and one loss. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2 in favor of UTS Rabat, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat attack and defence ratings
Difaa EL Jadida
UTS Rabat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UTS Rabat | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Difaa EL Jadida | 27.2% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| UTS Rabat | 46.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | UTS Rabat win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat stats
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat recent form
| Difaa EL Jadida |
WWLLLD |
| UTS Rabat |
LDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | UTS Rabat | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Difaa EL Jadida | UTS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-27 | Difaa EL Jadida | UTS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | UTS Rabat | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.