Amal Tiznit
vs
Kawkab Marrakech
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawkab Marrakech
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech
| Probability | Amal Tiznit | Draw | Kawkab Marrakech |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 28.7% | 49.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.2% | 28.7% | 49.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kawkab Marrakech
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech match preview
Amal Tiznit faces Kawkab Marrakech in what is expected to be a competitive match. According to our model, Amal Tiznit has a 24% chance of winning, while Kawkab Marrakech holds a 47% probability of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%.
In terms of recent form, Amal Tiznit has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Kawkab Marrakech has shown stronger performance with three wins, a loss, and a draw. Expected goals suggest Amal Tiznit will score 0.95, compared to Kawkab Marrakech's 1.43, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Amal Tiznit and Kawkab Marrakech expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Amal Tiznit and Kawkab Marrakech attack and defence ratings
Amal Tiznit
Kawkab Marrakech
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amal Tiznit | 22.2% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Kawkab Marrakech | 49.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.8% |
| No | 52.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawkab Marrakech win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 50.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech stats
Amal Tiznit and Kawkab Marrakech recent form
| Amal Tiznit |
LDLWLD |
| Kawkab Marrakech |
DWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.