Amal Tiznit
vs
CODM Meknès
Garuda Lions Prediction: CODM Meknès
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknès overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknès
| Probability | Amal Tiznit | Draw | CODM Meknès |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 26.4% | 46.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.7% | 26.4% | 46.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CODM Meknès
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknès match preview
Amal Tiznit faces CODM Meknès in the upcoming Botola Pro match, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Amal Tiznit has a 27% chance of winning, while CODM Meknès holds a 47% probability of victory, with a 26% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Amal Tiznit is 1.21, compared to 1.67 for CODM Meknès. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Amal Tiznit has recorded a sequence of D-L-W-L-D-D, while CODM Meknès shows a more favorable trend with W-D-L-W-L-W. The model indicates a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance that both teams will score in this match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Amal Tiznit and CODM Meknès expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Amal Tiznit and CODM Meknès attack and defence ratings
Amal Tiznit
CODM Meknès
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknès markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CODM Meknès | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amal Tiznit | 26.7% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| CODM Meknès | 46.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | CODM Meknès win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.2% |
Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknès stats
Amal Tiznit and CODM Meknès recent form
| Amal Tiznit |
DLWLDD |
| CODM Meknès |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.