Botola Pro · ·Matchday 5

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Maghreb Fès 31%
Draw 35%
Renaissance Berkane 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
35%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
83%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
37%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
17% of simulated outcomes

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMaghreb FèsDrawRenaissance Berkane
Model30.6%35.1%34.3%
Market———
Final30.6%35.1%34.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane match preview

Maghreb Fès faces Renaissance Berkane in a Botola Pro match with kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Maghreb Fès has a 31% probability of winning, while Renaissance Berkane stands at 34%, and a draw is estimated at 35%. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, with a 17% probability. Expected goals are 0.88 for Maghreb Fès and 0.95 for Renaissance Berkane, indicating a closely contested match.

In terms of recent form, Maghreb Fès has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Renaissance Berkane has shown stronger performance with three wins and two draws in the same period. Historically, in their last four encounters, Maghreb Fès has not secured a win, with Renaissance Berkane achieving three victories and one draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Maghreb Fès ↓ / Renaissance Be → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane expected goals

Maghreb Fès 0.88
Renaissance Berkane 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.84

Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane attack and defence ratings

Maghreb Fès

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Renaissance Berkane

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 35.1% 2.85 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.1% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.4% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.7% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Maghreb Fès30.6%
Draw35.1%
Renaissance Berkane34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.9%
Under 2.572.1%
Both teams to scoreYes37.4%
No62.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)64.9%
X2 (draw or away)69.4%
Handicap -1Renaissance Berkane win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss65.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.3%
1-114.8%
0-113.8%

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane stats

Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Maghreb Fès wins 1Draws 3Renaissance Berkane wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21Maghreb FèsRenaissance BerkaneBotola Pro1-2
2026-04-05Renaissance BerkaneMaghreb FèsBotola Pro1-1
2025-05-11Maghreb FèsRenaissance BerkaneBotola Pro1-3
2024-12-22Renaissance BerkaneMaghreb FèsBotola Pro2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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