ASEC Mimosas
vs
Maghreb Fès
1 – 2 Full time
| 62′ | C. Ibayi | ||
| 73′ | Bakara K | ||
| 90′ | K. Baba |
ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès
| Probability | ASEC Mimosas | Draw | Maghreb Fès |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 34.1% | 25.2% |
| Market | 36.5% | 31.6% | 31.9% |
| Final | 37.6% | 32.2% | 30.2% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.6% | -1.7% |
Why ASEC Mimosas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.79.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ASEC Mimosas and Maghreb Fès expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.89
ASEC Mimosas and Maghreb Fès attack and defence ratings
ASEC Mimosas
Maghreb Fès
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès: result vs prediction
ASEC Mimosas 1 – 2 Maghreb Fès
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASEC Mimosas | 37.6% | 2.66 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASEC Mimosas | 37.6% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Maghreb Fès | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | ASEC Mimosas win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 1-0 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès stats
ASEC Mimosas and Maghreb Fès recent form
| ASEC Mimosas |
DWDWL |
| Maghreb Fès |
DLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Maghreb Fès | ASEC Mimosas | CAF Champions League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 31.6%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 2.89 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 2.89 | 2.79 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.70 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .