APR
vs
Zamalek SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zamalek SC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 18% model probability
APR vs Zamalek SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: APR vs Zamalek SC
| Probability | APR | Draw | Zamalek SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.6% | 33.1% | 49.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.6% | 33.1% | 49.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zamalek SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
APR vs Zamalek SC match preview
In the upcoming CAF Champions League match, APR faces Zamalek SC on October 16, 2026. The model assigns a probability of 18% for an APR victory, 33% for a draw, and 49% for a Zamalek SC win. The expected goals for APR stand at 0.61, while Zamalek SC is projected to score 1.20. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 18% probability.
Recent form highlights a stark contrast between the two teams; APR has recorded one win and three losses in their last four matches, whereas Zamalek SC boasts an impressive six consecutive wins. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 27%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 33%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate reliability in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
APR and Zamalek SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
APR and Zamalek SC attack and defence ratings
APR
Zamalek SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- 15 de Agosto vs Simba — team news & stats
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
APR vs Zamalek SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamalek SC | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | APR | 17.6% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Zamalek SC | 49.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.0% |
| No | 67.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zamalek SC win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.5% |
| 0-0 | 17.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
APR vs Zamalek SC stats
APR and Zamalek SC recent form
| APR |
WLLL |
| Zamalek SC |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.