APR
vs
Zamalek SC
0 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | APR | ||
| 44′ | Zamalek SC | ||
| 79′ | Zamalek SC | ||
| 90′ | N. Mansy | ||
| 90′ | APR |
APR vs Zamalek SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: APR vs Zamalek SC
| Probability | APR | Draw | Zamalek SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 33.9% | 40.9% |
| Market | 16.9% | 27.2% | 55.9% |
| Final | 19.0% | 28.9% | 52.1% |
| Edge | +2.1% | +1.7% | -3.7% |
Why Zamalek SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
APR and Zamalek SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
APR and Zamalek SC attack and defence ratings
APR
Zamalek SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
APR vs Zamalek SC: result vs prediction
APR 0 – 1 Zamalek SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger
Before and after this match
APR vs Zamalek SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamalek SC | 52.1% | 1.92 | -3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | APR | 19.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Zamalek SC | 52.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.2% |
| No | 61.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zamalek SC win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 0-1 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
APR vs Zamalek SC stats
APR and Zamalek SC recent form
| APR |
WLLL |
| Zamalek SC |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
APR vs Zamalek SC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
APR vs Zamalek SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.9%, draw 27.2%, away 55.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.30 | 3.15 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.60 | 3.55 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 3.40 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 3.85 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 5.15 | 3.15 | 1.64 |
| Pinnacle | 4.46 | 3.02 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.10 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .