TP Mazembe
vs
Club Africain
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
TP Mazembe vs Club Africain overview
Garuda Lions analysis: TP Mazembe vs Club Africain
| Probability | TP Mazembe | Draw | Club Africain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 37.0% | 30.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.6% | 37.0% | 30.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
TP Mazembe vs Club Africain match preview
TP Mazembe faces Club Africain in the CAF Champions League on October 17, 2026. The model assigns probabilities of 33% for a TP Mazembe victory, 37% for a draw, and 30% for a Club Africain win. The expected goals for TP Mazembe stand at 0.86, while Club Africain has a slightly lower expectation of 0.82. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, with a 20% probability.
In terms of recent form, TP Mazembe has won their last two matches, while Club Africain has shown consistency with four wins, a draw, and one loss in their last six games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 24%, and both teams to score is projected at 33%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
TP Mazembe and Club Africain expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.67
TP Mazembe and Club Africain attack and defence ratings
TP Mazembe
Club Africain
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- 15 de Agosto vs Simba — team news & stats
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
TP Mazembe vs Club Africain markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TP Mazembe | 32.6% |
| Draw | 37.0% | |
| Club Africain | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.4% |
| No | 66.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | TP Mazembe win | 11.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.1% |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
TP Mazembe vs Club Africain stats
TP Mazembe and Club Africain recent form
| TP Mazembe |
WW |
| Club Africain |
WDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.