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CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain

1 – 1 Full time

38′K. Baso
39′A. Kante
TP Mazembe 42%
Draw 34%
Club Africain 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TP Mazembe vs Club Africain

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTP MazembeDrawClub Africain
Model42.1%33.8%24.1%
Market———
Final42.1%33.8%24.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why TP Mazembe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.79.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

TP Mazembe ↓ / Club Africain → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 15% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

TP Mazembe and Club Africain expected goals

TP Mazembe 1.11
Club Africain 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.90

TP Mazembe and Club Africain attack and defence ratings

TP Mazembe

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Club Africain

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain: result vs prediction

TP Mazembe 1 – 1 Club Africain

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 TP Mazembe 42.1% 2.38 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.6% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2TP Mazembe42.1%
Draw33.8%
Club Africain24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.6%
Under 2.570.4%
Both teams to scoreYes37.8%
No62.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)66.2%
X2 (draw or away)57.9%
Handicap -1TP Mazembe win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss58.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.3%
1-015.4%
1-114.4%

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain stats

TP Mazembe and Club Africain recent form

newest first
TP Mazembe WW
Club Africain LWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

TP Mazembe vs Club Africain odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.