CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane

0 – 2 Full time

37′O. Lamlioui
41′O. Lamlioui
Star Sport Academy 13%
Draw 20%
Renaissance Berkane 67%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStar Sport AcademyDrawRenaissance Berkane
Model37.2%36.2%26.6%
Market5.6%14.2%80.2%
Final13.5%19.7%66.8%
Edge+7.9%+5.5%-13.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Renaissance Berkane

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Star Sport Aca ↓ / Renaissance Be → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 13% 1 15% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane expected goals

Star Sport Academy 0.94
Renaissance Berkane 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.72

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane attack and defence ratings

Star Sport Academy

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Renaissance Berkane

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane: result vs prediction

Star Sport Academy 0 – 2 Renaissance Berkane

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Renaissance Berkane 66.8% 1.50 -13.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.2% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score No 65.9% 1.52 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.4% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Star Sport Academy13.5%
Draw19.7%
Renaissance Berkane66.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524.8%
Under 2.575.2%
Both teams to scoreYes34.1%
No65.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)33.2%
12 (either side)80.3%
X2 (draw or away)86.5%
Handicap -1Renaissance Berkane win9.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss72.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.2%
1-015.8%
1-114.4%

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane stats

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 5.6%, draw 14.2%, away 80.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 16.00 6.26 1.11

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 16.00 ▲ +1.50
X 6.26 ▲ +0.18
2 1.11 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .