CAF Champions League · ·2nd Preliminary Round

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane

Garuda Lions Prediction: Star Sport Academy

1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability

Star Sport Academy 36%
Draw 35%
Renaissance Berkane 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Star Sport Academy wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
83%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
38%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStar Sport AcademyDrawRenaissance Berkane
Model36.2%34.7%29.1%
Market———
Final36.2%34.7%29.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane match preview

Star Sport Academy faces Renaissance Berkane in the CAF Champions League on October 16, 2026. The model assigns probabilities of 36% for a Star Sport Academy win, 35% for a draw, and 29% for a Renaissance Berkane victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Star Sport Academy, with a 14% chance.

In terms of expected goals, Star Sport Academy is projected to score 1.00, while Renaissance Berkane is expected to net 0.87. Recent form shows Star Sport Academy with two consecutive draws, while Renaissance Berkane has a mixed record of two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 29%, and both teams to score stands at 38%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Star Sport Aca ↓ / Renaissance Be → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 12% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane expected goals

Star Sport Academy 1.00
Renaissance Berkane 0.87

Total expected goals: 1.87

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane attack and defence ratings

Star Sport Academy

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Renaissance Berkane

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Star Sport Academy 36.2% 2.76 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.2% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 61.9% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.9% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Star Sport Academy36.2%
Draw34.7%
Renaissance Berkane29.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.8%
Under 2.571.2%
Both teams to scoreYes38.1%
No61.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.9%
12 (either side)65.3%
X2 (draw or away)63.8%
Handicap -1Star Sport Academy win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.7%
1-114.7%
1-014.1%

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane stats

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Star Sport Academy Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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