CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy

1 – 0 Full time

53′Renaissance Berkane

Stade Municipal de Berkane, Berkane

Renaissance Berkane 82%
Draw 13%
Star Sport Academy 4%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRenaissance BerkaneDrawStar Sport Academy
Model65.2%26.1%8.7%
Market88.2%8.9%2.9%
Final82.4%13.2%4.3%
Edge-5.7%+4.3%+1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Renaissance Berkane

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.42.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Renaissance Be ↓ / Star Sport Aca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 21% 2 17% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 14%

Renaissance Berkane and Star Sport Academy expected goals

Renaissance Berkane 1.59
Star Sport Academy 0.42

Total expected goals: 2.00

Renaissance Berkane and Star Sport Academy attack and defence ratings

Renaissance Berkane

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Star Sport Academy

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy: result vs prediction

Renaissance Berkane 1 – 0 Star Sport Academy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Renaissance Berkane 82.4% 1.21 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.9% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 71.9% 1.39 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 95.7% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 Renaissance Berkane win 37.3% 2.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Renaissance Berkane82.4%
Draw13.2%
Star Sport Academy4.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.1%
Under 2.567.9%
Both teams to scoreYes28.1%
No71.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)95.7%
12 (either side)86.8%
X2 (draw or away)17.6%
Handicap -1Renaissance Berkane win37.3%
Push (exactly one goal)28.4%
Loss34.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-020.5%
2-016.8%
0-014.5%

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy stats

Renaissance Berkane and Star Sport Academy recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Renaissance Berkane wins 0Draws 0Star Sport Academy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17Star Sport AcademyRenaissance BerkaneCAF Champions League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 88.2%, draw 8.9%, away 2.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.03 9.80 38.00
Bet365 1.04 15.00 26.00
BetVictor 1.05 10.00 26.00
Betano 1.05 8.50 24.00
Betfair 1.04 13.00 41.00
Dafabet 1.04 12.00 45.00
Marathonbet 1.02 10.50 24.00
William Hill 1.06 9.00 61.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.04 ▼ -0.04
X 10.25 ▲ +3.47
2 32.00 ▲ +15.00

10 snapshots recorded, from .