African Stars
vs
Orlando Pirates
0 – 1 Full time
| 78′ | T. Moremi |
African Stars vs Orlando Pirates overview
Garuda Lions analysis: African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
| Probability | African Stars | Draw | Orlando Pirates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.0% | 27.6% | 62.4% |
| Market | 15.9% | 25.3% | 58.8% |
| Final | 14.4% | 25.9% | 59.7% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.6% | +0.9% |
Why Orlando Pirates
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.45.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
African Stars and Orlando Pirates expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
African Stars and Orlando Pirates attack and defence ratings
African Stars
Orlando Pirates
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
African Stars vs Orlando Pirates: result vs prediction
African Stars 0 – 1 Orlando Pirates
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger
Before and after this match
African Stars vs Orlando Pirates markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 59.7% | 1.67 | +0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | African Stars | 14.4% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Orlando Pirates | 59.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.1% |
| No | 70.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 34.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.4% | |
| Loss | 36.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 20.4% |
| 0-2 | 16.0% | |
| 0-0 | 15.3% |
African Stars vs Orlando Pirates stats
African Stars and Orlando Pirates recent form
| African Stars |
WLLL |
| Orlando Pirates |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
African Stars vs Orlando Pirates head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
African Stars vs Orlando Pirates odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.7%, draw 25.3%, away 59.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.74 | 3.56 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 3.60 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 5.60 | 3.56 | 1.51 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 3.30 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .