CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars

4 – 0 Full time

18′Orlando Pirates
45′Orlando Pirates
46′Orlando Pirates
77′Orlando Pirates

Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg

Orlando Pirates 82%
Draw 14%
African Stars 4%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orlando Pirates vs African Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrlando PiratesDrawAfrican Stars
Model85.2%12.9%2.0%
Market81.3%14.1%4.6%
Final82.2%13.8%3.9%
Edge+1.0%-0.3%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Orlando Pirates

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 0.22.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orlando Pirate ↓ / African Stars → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 17% 2 21% 3 17% 4+ 17%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 8%

Orlando Pirates and African Stars expected goals

Orlando Pirates 2.36
African Stars 0.22

Total expected goals: 2.58

Orlando Pirates and African Stars attack and defence ratings

Orlando Pirates

Attack 1.74 +74%
Defence 0.35 -65%

African Stars

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars: result vs prediction

Orlando Pirates 4 – 0 African Stars

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orlando Pirates 82.2% 1.22 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score No 81.8% 1.22 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 96.1% 1.04 — —
Handicap -1 Orlando Pirates win 62.8% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orlando Pirates82.2%
Draw13.8%
African Stars3.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes18.2%
No81.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)96.1%
12 (either side)86.2%
X2 (draw or away)17.8%
Handicap -1Orlando Pirates win62.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss14.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-021.1%
1-017.5%
3-016.6%

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars stats

Orlando Pirates and African Stars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Orlando Pirates wins 0Draws 0African Stars wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17African StarsOrlando PiratesCAF Champions League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orlando Pirates vs African Stars odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 81.3%, draw 14.1%, away 4.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.11 6.20 16.50
Bet365 1.14 6.50 21.00
BetVictor 1.13 6.50 20.00
Betano 1.15 5.50 17.00
Betfair 1.10 6.50 21.00
Dafabet 1.15 6.60 21.00
Marathonbet 1.11 6.25 16.75
Pinnacle 1.11 6.62 15.60
William Hill 1.17 5.50 21.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.13 ▼ -0.05
X 6.50 ▲ +1.28
2 20.00 ▲ +6.20

10 snapshots recorded, from .