CAF Champions League
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
EL Merriekh Bentiu
vs
Pyramids FC
0 – 1 Full time
EL Merriekh Bentiu
26%
Draw
30%
Pyramids FC
45%
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC
| Probability | EL Merriekh Bentiu | Draw | Pyramids FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 29.6% | 44.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.8% | 29.6% | 44.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pyramids FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
EL Merriekh Bentiu and Pyramids FC expected goals
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1.00
Pyramids FC
1.39
Total expected goals: 2.39
EL Merriekh Bentiu and Pyramids FC attack and defence ratings
EL Merriekh Bentiu
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Pyramids FC
Attack
2.00 +100%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC: result vs prediction
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0 – 1 Pyramids FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyramids FC | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | EL Merriekh Bentiu | 25.8% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Pyramids FC | 44.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyramids FC win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 11.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC stats
EL Merriekh Bentiu and Pyramids FC recent form
| EL Merriekh Bentiu |
WWLL |
| Pyramids FC |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.