EL Merriekh Bentiu
vs
Pyramids FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pyramids FC
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC
| Probability | EL Merriekh Bentiu | Draw | Pyramids FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.1% | 31.2% | 41.6% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 27.1% | 31.2% | 41.6% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Pyramids FC
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC match preview
In the upcoming CAF Champions League match, EL Merriekh Bentiu faces Pyramids FC on October 16, 2026. The model predicts a 27% chance of a victory for EL Merriekh Bentiu, while Pyramids FC has a 42% probability of winning, with a 31% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 12% probability.
Recent form shows EL Merriekh Bentiu with two wins and two losses in their last four matches, while Pyramids FC is on an impressive winning streak, having won six consecutive games. Expected goals are 0.96 for EL Merriekh Bentiu and 1.25 for Pyramids FC. The probabilities are model-generated, reflecting a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
EL Merriekh Bentiu and Pyramids FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
EL Merriekh Bentiu and Pyramids FC attack and defence ratings
EL Merriekh Bentiu
Pyramids FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyramids FC | 41.6% | 2.40 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.83 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | 1.37 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | EL Merriekh Bentiu | 27.1% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Pyramids FC | 41.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyramids FC win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC stats
EL Merriekh Bentiu and Pyramids FC recent form
| WWLL | |
| WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.