Enugu Rangers
vs
MC Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: Enugu Rangers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger
| Probability | Enugu Rangers | Draw | MC Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 31.0% | 29.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.4% | 31.0% | 29.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Enugu Rangers
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger match preview
Enugu Rangers will face MC Alger in the CAF Champions League on October 18, 2026. The model assigns a 39% probability of a win for Enugu Rangers, while a draw is at 31% and MC Alger at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Enugu Rangers, with an 11% chance of occurring. The expected goals are 1.24 for Enugu Rangers and 1.04 for MC Alger, indicating a slightly stronger attacking performance from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Enugu Rangers have won their last six matches, while MC Alger has a mixed record with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six games. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 40%, and there is a 47% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for these predictions is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Enugu Rangers and MC Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Enugu Rangers and MC Alger attack and defence ratings
Enugu Rangers
MC Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
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- Scotland Mabvuku v Petro de Luanda — match page
- Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns — team news & stats
- Horoya vs Al Merreikh
- Teungueth v Colombe — match page
- Asswehly vs ES Tunis — team news & stats
- Maghreb Fès v ASEC Mimosas — match page
Before and after this match
Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enugu Rangers | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enugu Rangers | 39.4% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| MC Alger | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Enugu Rangers win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.4% |
Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger stats
Enugu Rangers and MC Alger recent form
| Enugu Rangers |
WWLWWW |
| MC Alger |
WWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.