Barau FC
vs
Enugu Rangers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barau FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
| Probability | Barau FC | Draw | Enugu Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.0% | 27.5% | 17.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.0% | 27.5% | 17.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Barau FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.79.
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers match preview
Barau FC will host Enugu Rangers in the Nigeria Premier Football League on October 11, 2026. The model gives Barau FC a 55% chance of winning, while Enugu Rangers has a 17% probability of securing a victory, with a 28% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Barau FC stand at 1.58, compared to Enugu Rangers' 0.79, indicating a potential edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Barau FC has recorded one win in their last six matches, with a mix of draws and losses, while Enugu Rangers has been in strong form, winning five of their last six games. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Barau FC, with a 14% probability, and both teams to score stands at 44%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barau FC and Enugu Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Barau FC and Enugu Rangers attack and defence ratings
Barau FC
Enugu Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
- Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance
- Warri Wolves v Inter Lagos — match page
Before and after this match
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barau FC | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barau FC | 55.0% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Enugu Rangers | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.6% |
| No | 55.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barau FC win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-1 | 12.8% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers stats
Barau FC and Enugu Rangers recent form
| Barau FC |
LDWDWD |
| Enugu Rangers |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Enugu Rangers | Barau FC | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Barau FC | Enugu Rangers | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.