Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars

4 – 0 Full time

3′P. Samson
23′Kano Pillars
25′Plateau United
30′Kano Pillars
45′D. Ojo
54′Kano Pillars
68′Plateau United
82′S. Ayanrinde
90′S. Nenrot

Rwang Pam Stadium, Jos

Plateau United 59%
Draw 27%
Kano Pillars 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Plateau United vs Kano Pillars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlateau UnitedDrawKano Pillars
Model57.4%26.9%15.7%
Market59.0%26.6%14.4%
Final58.6%26.7%14.7%
Edge-0.4%+0.1%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Plateau United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Plateau United ↓ / Kano Pillars → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 14% 12% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Plateau United and Kano Pillars expected goals

Plateau United 1.62
Kano Pillars 0.73

Total expected goals: 2.35

Plateau United and Kano Pillars attack and defence ratings

Plateau United

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Kano Pillars

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars: result vs prediction

Plateau United 4 – 0 Kano Pillars

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Plateau United 58.6% 1.71 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.3% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.3% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Plateau United58.6%
Draw26.7%
Kano Pillars14.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.7%
Under 2.558.3%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.3%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)41.4%
Handicap -1Plateau United win31.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss42.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.3%
2-012.5%
1-112.4%

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars stats

Plateau United and Kano Pillars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Plateau United and Kano Pillars going into this match

league record before kick-off

Plateau United record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Kano Pillars record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Plateau United wins 2Draws 4Kano Pillars wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Plateau UnitedKano PillarsNigeria Premier Football League1-0
2025-12-21Kano PillarsPlateau UnitedNigeria Premier Football League2-1
2025-03-22Plateau UnitedKano PillarsNPFL2-1
2024-11-03Kano PillarsPlateau UnitedNPFL2-1
2024-06-15Plateau UnitedKano PillarsNPFL1-1
2024-01-07Kano PillarsPlateau UnitedNPFL2-1
2022-06-05Plateau UnitedKano PillarsNPFL1-0
2022-02-13Kano PillarsPlateau UnitedNPFL0-1
2021-05-30Plateau UnitedKano PillarsNPFL0-0
2021-01-13Kano PillarsPlateau UnitedNPFL1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Plateau United vs Kano Pillars odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.0%, draw 26.6%, away 14.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.53 3.32 6.49
Bet365 1.53 3.40 6.25
Betano 1.57 3.40 6.10
Betfair 1.47 3.60 6.00
Dafabet 1.56 3.50 6.60
Marathonbet 1.51 3.32 6.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.53 ▲ +0.03
X 3.40 ▼ -0.08
2 6.28 ▼ -0.47

2 snapshots recorded, from .