Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Nasarawa United vs Doma United

2 – 0 Full time

9′Doma United
10′Nasarawa United
53′Nasarawa United
55′Nasarawa United
89′Nasarawa United
90′Doma United
90′Doma United

Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia

Nasarawa United 57%
Draw 26%
Doma United 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nasarawa United vs Doma United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nasarawa United vs Doma United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNasarawa UnitedDrawDoma United
Model53.0%28.8%18.2%
Market58.1%25.7%16.2%
Final56.9%26.4%16.7%
Edge-1.3%+0.8%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Nasarawa United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.77.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nasarawa Unite ↓ / Doma United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 14% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Nasarawa United and Doma United expected goals

Nasarawa United 1.49
Doma United 0.77

Total expected goals: 2.25

Nasarawa United and Doma United attack and defence ratings

Nasarawa United

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Doma United

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nasarawa United vs Doma United: result vs prediction

Nasarawa United 2 – 0 Doma United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Nasarawa United vs Doma United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nasarawa United 56.9% 1.76 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.8% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 57.3% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.3% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nasarawa United56.9%
Draw26.4%
Doma United16.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.2%
Under 2.560.8%
Both teams to scoreYes42.7%
No57.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)43.1%
Handicap -1Nasarawa United win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.4%
1-113.2%
0-011.7%

Nasarawa United vs Doma United stats

Nasarawa United and Doma United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nasarawa United and Doma United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nasarawa United record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Doma United record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Nasarawa United vs Doma United head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Nasarawa United vs Doma United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.1%, draw 25.7%, away 16.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.54 3.45 5.90
Bet365 1.55 3.40 5.50
Betano 1.60 3.55 5.40
Betfair 1.53 3.60 5.50
Dafabet 1.59 3.65 5.60
Marathonbet 1.52 3.45 5.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.54 —
X 3.50 —
2 5.55 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .