Ikorodu City
vs
Kwara United
2 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | F. Salami | ||
| 31′ | F. GaniyuM. Bada | ||
| 31′ | A. AdeoyeD. Mse | ||
| 36′ | E. Ikechukwu | ||
| 46′ | A. TomiwaA. Ayodeji | ||
| 57′ | Kwara United | ||
| 72′ | Kwara United | ||
| 73′ | E. IkechukwuD. Obiajulu |
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ikorodu City vs Kwara United
| Probability | Ikorodu City | Draw | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 24.9% | 17.7% |
| Market | 60.0% | 25.5% | 14.6% |
| Final | 59.3% | 25.3% | 15.3% |
| Edge | -0.6% | -0.1% | +0.8% |
Why Ikorodu City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.92.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ikorodu City and Kwara United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Ikorodu City and Kwara United attack and defence ratings
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United: result vs prediction
Ikorodu City 2 – 0 Kwara United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
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Before and after this match
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ikorodu City | 59.3% | 1.69 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ikorodu City | 59.3% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Kwara United | 15.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ikorodu City win | 33.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United stats
Ikorodu City and Kwara United recent form
| Ikorodu City |
LDWLDD |
| Kwara United |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ikorodu City and Kwara United going into this match
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kwara United record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Ikorodu City | Kwara United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Kwara United | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Ikorodu City | Kwara United | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Kwara United | Ikorodu City | NPFL | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 25.5%, away 14.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.52 | 6.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.25 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.40 | 6.30 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 3.90 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 3.52 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .