Niger Tornadoes
vs
Ikorodu City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Niger Tornadoes
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City
| Probability | Niger Tornadoes | Draw | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 33.3% | 17.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.4% | 33.3% | 17.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Niger Tornadoes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.59.
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City match preview
Niger Tornadoes face Ikorodu City in the Nigeria Premier Football League on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Niger Tornadoes have a 49% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 33% and Ikorodu City at 17%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Niger Tornadoes, with an expected goals tally of 1.19 for them compared to 0.59 for Ikorodu City.
In terms of recent form, Niger Tornadoes have recorded a series of draws and losses, with their latest results being D-W-L-D-L-D. Conversely, Ikorodu City has shown slightly better form with W-L-D-W-L-D in their last six matches. The head-to-head record from their last two encounters shows one win for each team, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.78
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City attack and defence ratings
Niger Tornadoes
Ikorodu City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 49.4% |
| Draw | 33.3% | |
| Ikorodu City | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.3% |
| No | 67.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Niger Tornadoes win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.8% |
| 0-0 | 18.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City stats
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City recent form
| Niger Tornadoes |
DWLDLD |
| Ikorodu City |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City season so far
Niger Tornadoes record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Ikorodu City | Niger Tornadoes | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Niger Tornadoes | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.