Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Niger Tornadoes
vs
Ikorodu City
2 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | O. Nafiu | ||
| 82′ | M. Bashir | ||
| 90′ | A. Basit |
Niger Tornadoes
56%
Draw
29%
Ikorodu City
15%
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City
| Probability | Niger Tornadoes | Draw | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 33.4% | 17.3% |
| Market | 57.9% | 27.7% | 14.4% |
| Final | 55.8% | 29.1% | 15.1% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
Why Niger Tornadoes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
54%
3+ goals
26%
No goals
18%
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City expected goals
Niger Tornadoes
1.19
Ikorodu City
0.59
Total expected goals: 1.78
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City attack and defence ratings
Niger Tornadoes
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Ikorodu City
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City: result vs prediction
Niger Tornadoes 2 – 1 Ikorodu City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees — team news & stats
- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 55.8% | 1.79 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 55.8% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Ikorodu City | 15.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.3% |
| No | 67.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Niger Tornadoes win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.8% |
| 0-0 | 18.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City stats
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City recent form
| Niger Tornadoes |
DWLDLD |
| Ikorodu City |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City going into this match
Niger Tornadoes record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Niger Tornadoes wins
1Draws
2Ikorodu City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Ikorodu City | Niger Tornadoes | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Niger Tornadoes | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League | 4-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Ikorodu City | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Niger Tornadoes | Ikorodu City | NPFL | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 27.7%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.24 | 6.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.30 | 6.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.24 | 6.10 |