Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Abia Warriors
vs
Niger Tornadoes
0 – 1 Full time
| 55′ | W. Jimoh |
Abia Warriors
47%
Draw
34%
Niger Tornadoes
19%
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes
| Probability | Abia Warriors | Draw | Niger Tornadoes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 34.5% | 18.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.0% | 34.5% | 18.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Abia Warriors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.60.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
81%
2+ goals
53%
3+ goals
25%
No goals
19%
Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes expected goals
Abia Warriors
1.12
Niger Tornadoes
0.60
Total expected goals: 1.73
Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes attack and defence ratings
Abia Warriors
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Niger Tornadoes
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes: result vs prediction
Abia Warriors 0 – 1 Niger Tornadoes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abia Warriors | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abia Warriors | 47.0% |
| Draw | 34.5% | |
| Niger Tornadoes | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.8% |
| No | 68.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Abia Warriors win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.0% |
| 1-0 | 18.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.3% |
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes stats
Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes recent form
| Abia Warriors |
DDLWLW |
| Niger Tornadoes |
WDWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes going into this match
Abia Warriors record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Niger Tornadoes record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Abia Warriors wins
3Draws
2Niger Tornadoes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Abia Warriors | Niger Tornadoes | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Niger Tornadoes | Abia Warriors | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Niger Tornadoes | Abia Warriors | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Abia Warriors | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Niger Tornadoes | Abia Warriors | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-30 | Abia Warriors | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-23 | Niger Tornadoes | Abia Warriors | NPFL | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-01 | Abia Warriors | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Abia Warriors | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-30 | Niger Tornadoes | Abia Warriors | NPFL | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.