Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba

1 – 0 Full time

23′J. John

Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia

Nasarawa United 67%
Draw 22%
Enyimba 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nasarawa United vs Enyimba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNasarawa UnitedDrawEnyimba
Model67.2%22.0%10.8%
Market———
Final67.2%22.0%10.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Nasarawa United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nasarawa Unite ↓ / Enyimba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 13% 10% 2 14% 9% 3 9% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Nasarawa United and Enyimba expected goals

Nasarawa United 1.98
Enyimba 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.66

Nasarawa United and Enyimba attack and defence ratings

Nasarawa United

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Enyimba

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba: result vs prediction

Nasarawa United 1 – 0 Enyimba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nasarawa United 67.2% 1.49 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.2% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Nasarawa United win 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nasarawa United67.2%
Draw22.0%
Enyimba10.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.2%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)32.8%
Handicap -1Nasarawa United win42.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss32.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.8%
1-013.0%
1-110.3%

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba stats

Nasarawa United and Enyimba recent form

newest first
Nasarawa United WWDWLD
Enyimba DLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nasarawa United and Enyimba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nasarawa United record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.

Enyimba record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Nasarawa United wins 4Draws 4Enyimba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-28Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaNigeria Premier Football League1-1
2025-09-07EnyimbaNasarawa UnitedNigeria Premier Football League0-0
2025-05-11Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaNPFL3-2
2025-01-08EnyimbaNasarawa UnitedNPFL2-1
2023-03-29EnyimbaNasarawa UnitedNPFL1-1
2023-01-14Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaNPFL1-2
2022-05-28EnyimbaNasarawa UnitedNPFL3-2
2022-02-02Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaNPFL2-1
2021-06-20EnyimbaNasarawa UnitedNPFL0-0
2021-02-03Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaNPFL1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.