Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Nasarawa United
vs
Enyimba
1 – 0 Full time
| 23′ | J. John |
Nasarawa United
67%
Draw
22%
Enyimba
11%
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nasarawa United vs Enyimba
| Probability | Nasarawa United | Draw | Enyimba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.2% | 22.0% | 10.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.2% | 22.0% | 10.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nasarawa United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Nasarawa United and Enyimba expected goals
Nasarawa United
1.98
Enyimba
0.68
Total expected goals: 2.66
Nasarawa United and Enyimba attack and defence ratings
Nasarawa United
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Enyimba
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba: result vs prediction
Nasarawa United 1 – 0 Enyimba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nasarawa United | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Nasarawa United win | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nasarawa United | 67.2% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Enyimba | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nasarawa United win | 42.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.3% |
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba stats
Nasarawa United and Enyimba recent form
| WWDWLD | |
| DLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nasarawa United and Enyimba going into this match
Nasarawa United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Enyimba record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Nasarawa United wins
4Draws
4Enyimba wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Nasarawa United | Enyimba | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Enyimba | Nasarawa United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Nasarawa United | Enyimba | NPFL | 3-2 |
| 2025-01-08 | Enyimba | Nasarawa United | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-29 | Enyimba | Nasarawa United | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2023-01-14 | Nasarawa United | Enyimba | NPFL | 1-2 |
| 2022-05-28 | Enyimba | Nasarawa United | NPFL | 3-2 |
| 2022-02-02 | Nasarawa United | Enyimba | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2021-06-20 | Enyimba | Nasarawa United | NPFL | 0-0 |
| 2021-02-03 | Nasarawa United | Enyimba | NPFL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.