Nigeria Premier Football League · ·Matchday 10

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba

Garuda Lions Prediction: Nasarawa United

2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.68.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia

Nasarawa United 67%
Draw 22%
Enyimba 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Nasarawa United wins
67%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nasarawa United vs Enyimba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNasarawa UnitedDrawEnyimba
Model67.3%21.9%10.8%
Market———
Final67.3%21.9%10.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Nasarawa United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba match preview

Nasarawa United will face Enyimba in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Nasarawa United has a 63% probability of winning, while Enyimba stands at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 in favor of Nasarawa United, with an expected goals figure of 1.97 compared to Enyimba's 0.83.

In terms of recent form, Nasarawa United has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Enyimba has two wins, one draw, and three losses. The two teams have met twice recently, resulting in two draws and no wins for either side. With a confidence grade of C, the match presents an intriguing contest based on these statistics.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nasarawa Unite ↓ / Enyimba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 13% 10% 2 14% 9% 3 9% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Nasarawa United and Enyimba expected goals

Nasarawa United 1.98
Enyimba 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.66

Nasarawa United and Enyimba attack and defence ratings

Nasarawa United

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Enyimba

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nasarawa United 67.3% 1.49 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.2% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Nasarawa United win 42.7% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nasarawa United67.3%
Draw21.9%
Enyimba10.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.2%
12 (either side)78.1%
X2 (draw or away)32.7%
Handicap -1Nasarawa United win42.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss32.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.8%
1-012.9%
1-110.3%

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba stats

Nasarawa United and Enyimba recent form

newest first
Nasarawa United WWDWLD
Enyimba DLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nasarawa United and Enyimba season so far

league record

Nasarawa United record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Enyimba record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Nasarawa United wins 2Draws 0Enyimba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-28Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaNigeria Premier Football League1-1
2025-09-07EnyimbaNasarawa UnitedNigeria Premier Football League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Nasarawa United Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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