Ranchers Bees
vs
Doma United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ranchers Bees
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ranchers Bees vs Doma United
| Probability | Ranchers Bees | Draw | Doma United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 24.9% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.5% | 24.9% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ranchers Bees
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.81.
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United match preview
Ranchers Bees are set to face Doma United in the Nigeria Premier Football League on November 18, 2026. According to our model, Ranchers Bees have a 56% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 27% and Doma United at 17%. The expected goals for Ranchers Bees are 1.60, compared to 0.80 for Doma United, suggesting a potential advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 13% chance.
In terms of recent form, Ranchers Bees have recorded one win in their last five matches, with a sequence of L-D-L-D-L-W. Doma United's recent performance shows a similar struggle, with one win in their last six games, resulting in D-L-W-L-D-L. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, while both teams to score is at 45%, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ranchers Bees and Doma United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Ranchers Bees and Doma United attack and defence ratings
Ranchers Bees
Doma United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranchers Bees | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranchers Bees | 59.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Doma United | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ranchers Bees win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.2% |
| 2-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United stats
Ranchers Bees and Doma United recent form
| Ranchers Bees |
WDLDLD |
| Doma United |
DDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ranchers Bees and Doma United season so far
Ranchers Bees record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Doma United record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.