Ranchers Bees
vs
Doma United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ranchers Bees
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.79.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ranchers Bees vs Doma United
| Probability | Ranchers Bees | Draw | Doma United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 27.2% | 17.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.6% | 27.2% | 17.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ranchers Bees
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.79.
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United match preview
Ranchers Bees are set to face Doma United in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Ranchers Bees hold a 56% probability of winning, while Doma United has a 17% chance, and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Ranchers Bees, with an expected goals metric of 1.61 for Ranchers Bees compared to 0.79 for Doma United.
In terms of recent form, Ranchers Bees have recorded one win in their last five matches (L-D-L-D-L-W), while Doma United has also struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings (D-L-W-L-D-L). The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 43%, and both teams to score is estimated at 45%, indicating a potentially low-scoring match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ranchers Bees and Doma United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Ranchers Bees and Doma United attack and defence ratings
Ranchers Bees
Doma United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
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Before and after this match
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranchers Bees | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranchers Bees | 55.6% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Doma United | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ranchers Bees win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.4% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
Ranchers Bees vs Doma United stats
Ranchers Bees and Doma United recent form
| Ranchers Bees |
LDLDLW |
| Doma United |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ranchers Bees and Doma United season so far
Ranchers Bees record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Doma United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.