Ikorodu City
vs
Shooting Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ikorodu City
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.73.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars
| Probability | Ikorodu City | Draw | Shooting Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.2% | 23.2% | 12.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.2% | 23.2% | 12.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ikorodu City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars match preview
Ikorodu City is set to face Shooting Stars in the Nigeria Premier Football League on October 25, 2026. According to our model, Ikorodu City has a strong probability of winning at 68%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 being the most likely outcome at 13%. The expected goals for Ikorodu City stand at 2.04, while Shooting Stars is projected to score only 0.70.
In terms of recent form, Ikorodu City has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. Conversely, Shooting Stars has struggled, managing just one win in their last six outings, alongside two draws and three losses. The head-to-head record shows Ikorodu City with one win and one draw against Shooting Stars, who have yet to secure a victory in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars attack and defence ratings
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
Before and after this match
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ikorodu City | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ikorodu City win | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ikorodu City | 64.2% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Shooting Stars | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ikorodu City win | 39.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars stats
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars recent form
| Ikorodu City |
LWLDWL |
| Shooting Stars |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars season so far
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shooting Stars record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | Ikorodu City | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Shooting Stars | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.