Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Ikorodu City
vs
Shooting Stars
2 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | T. Otaniyi | ||
| 36′ | D. Ojietefian | ||
| 44′ | D. Obiajulu | ||
| 83′ | D. Obiajulu |
Ikorodu City
64%
Draw
23%
Shooting Stars
13%
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars
| Probability | Ikorodu City | Draw | Shooting Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.1% | 23.3% | 12.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.1% | 23.3% | 12.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ikorodu City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars expected goals
Ikorodu City
1.90
Shooting Stars
0.73
Total expected goals: 2.62
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars attack and defence ratings
Ikorodu City
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Shooting Stars
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars: result vs prediction
Ikorodu City 2 – 2 Shooting Stars
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ikorodu City | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ikorodu City win | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ikorodu City | 64.1% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Shooting Stars | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ikorodu City win | 39.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars stats
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars recent form
| Ikorodu City |
LWLDWL |
| Shooting Stars |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars going into this match
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shooting Stars record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Ikorodu City wins
2Draws
0Shooting Stars wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | Ikorodu City | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Shooting Stars | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Shooting Stars | Ikorodu City | NPFL | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Ikorodu City | Shooting Stars | NPFL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.