Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Shooting Stars
vs
Ranchers Bees
3 – 1 Full time
Shooting Stars
58%
Draw
28%
Ranchers Bees
14%
Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees
| Probability | Shooting Stars | Draw | Ranchers Bees |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 32.5% | 18.2% |
| Market | 61.2% | 26.1% | 12.7% |
| Final | 58.2% | 27.7% | 14.1% |
| Edge | -12.0% | +6.4% | +5.5% |
Why Shooting Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.64.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
57%
3+ goals
29%
No goals
17%
Shooting Stars and Ranchers Bees expected goals
Shooting Stars
1.23
Ranchers Bees
0.64
Total expected goals: 1.88
Shooting Stars and Ranchers Bees attack and defence ratings
Shooting Stars
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Ranchers Bees
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees: result vs prediction
Shooting Stars 3 – 1 Ranchers Bees
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
Before and after this match
Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 58.2% | 1.72 | -12.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 58.2% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Ranchers Bees | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.9% |
| No | 65.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shooting Stars win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.6% |
| 0-0 | 16.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.4% |
Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees stats
Shooting Stars and Ranchers Bees recent form
| Shooting Stars |
LDDLLW |
| Ranchers Bees |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shooting Stars and Ranchers Bees going into this match
Shooting Stars record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Ranchers Bees record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.2%, draw 26.1%, away 12.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 3.54 | 7.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.40 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.25 | 7.00 |