Inter Lagos
vs
Ranchers Bees
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Lagos
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.80.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees
| Probability | Inter Lagos | Draw | Ranchers Bees |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 33.3% | 24.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.5% | 33.3% | 24.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inter Lagos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.80.
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees match preview
Inter Lagos faces Ranchers Bees in the Nigeria Premier Football League with a projected probability of 45% for a home win, while a draw stands at 32% and an away victory for Ranchers Bees at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 14% likelihood. The expected goals for Inter Lagos is 1.27, compared to 0.83 for Ranchers Bees, indicating a stronger offensive output from the home side.
Recent form shows Inter Lagos with two losses, a draw, and two wins in their last five matches, while Ranchers Bees has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 35%, and both teams are expected to score 42% of the time, reflecting a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees attack and defence ratings
Inter Lagos
Ranchers Bees
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Kano Pillars v Nasarawa United — match page
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers
- Shooting Stars v Abia Warriors — match page
Before and after this match
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 42.5% |
| Draw | 33.3% | |
| Ranchers Bees | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.9% |
| No | 61.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Lagos win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.6% |
| 1-0 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees stats
Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees recent form
| Inter Lagos |
LLLDLD |
| Ranchers Bees |
LDLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees season so far
Inter Lagos record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Ranchers Bees record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.