Niger Tornadoes
vs
Barau FC
0 – 0 Full time
Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC
| Probability | Niger Tornadoes | Draw | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.3% | 32.9% | 15.8% |
| Market | 55.7% | 28.4% | 15.9% |
| Final | 54.6% | 29.5% | 15.9% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +1.1% | -0.0% |
Why Niger Tornadoes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.77
Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC attack and defence ratings
Niger Tornadoes
Barau FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC: result vs prediction
Niger Tornadoes 0 – 0 Barau FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees
- Kano Pillars v Nasarawa United — match page
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers
Before and after this match
Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 54.6% | 1.83 | -1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 54.6% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Barau FC | 15.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.1% |
| No | 68.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Niger Tornadoes win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.5% |
| 0-0 | 18.2% | |
| 1-1 | 12.6% |
Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC stats
Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC recent form
| WWDWLD | |
| DDDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC going into this match
Niger Tornadoes record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barau FC record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Barau FC | Niger Tornadoes | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Niger Tornadoes | Barau FC | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 28.4%, away 15.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.14 | 6.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.30 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.05 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.25 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 3.15 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.12 | 6.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .