Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 11

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC

0 – 0 Full time

Bako Kontagora Stadium

Niger Tornadoes 55%
Draw 30%
Barau FC 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNiger TornadoesDrawBarau FC
Model51.3%32.9%15.8%
Market55.7%28.4%15.9%
Final54.6%29.5%15.9%
Edge-1.1%+1.1%-0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Niger Tornadoes

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Niger Tornadoe ↓ / Barau FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 20% 13% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 18%

Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC expected goals

Niger Tornadoes 1.22
Barau FC 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.77

Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC attack and defence ratings

Niger Tornadoes

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Barau FC

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC: result vs prediction

Niger Tornadoes 0 – 0 Barau FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Niger Tornadoes 54.6% 1.83 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.8% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 68.9% 1.45 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.1% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Niger Tornadoes54.6%
Draw29.5%
Barau FC15.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.2%
Under 2.573.8%
Both teams to scoreYes31.1%
No68.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.1%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Niger Tornadoes win24.0%
Push (exactly one goal)27.4%
Loss48.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.5%
0-018.2%
1-112.6%

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC stats

Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC recent form

newest first
Niger Tornadoes WWDWLD
Barau FC DDDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Niger Tornadoes and Barau FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Niger Tornadoes record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Barau FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Niger Tornadoes wins 0Draws 1Barau FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-14Barau FCNiger TornadoesNigeria Premier Football League2-1
2025-12-28Niger TornadoesBarau FCNigeria Premier Football League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 28.4%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 3.14 6.19
Bet365 1.57 3.30 5.75
Betano 1.75 3.05 5.20
Betfair 1.62 3.25 5.50
Dafabet 1.74 3.15 5.40
Marathonbet 1.57 3.12 6.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▼ -0.01
X 3.15 ▲ +0.04
2 5.62 ▼ -0.12

2 snapshots recorded, from .