Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Barau FC
vs
Kwara United
1 – 1 Full time
| 41′ | S. Anthony | ||
| 63′ | Kano |
Barau FC
67%
Draw
22%
Kwara United
10%
Barau FC vs Kwara United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barau FC vs Kwara United
| Probability | Barau FC | Draw | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.3% | 22.4% | 10.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.3% | 22.4% | 10.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Barau FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.63.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Barau FC and Kwara United expected goals
Barau FC
1.92
Kwara United
0.63
Total expected goals: 2.55
Barau FC and Kwara United attack and defence ratings
Barau FC
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Kwara United
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barau FC vs Kwara United: result vs prediction
Barau FC 1 – 1 Kwara United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Barau FC vs Kwara United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barau FC | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Barau FC win | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barau FC | 67.3% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Kwara United | 10.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.8% |
| No | 59.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barau FC win | 42.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 32.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Barau FC vs Kwara United stats
Barau FC and Kwara United recent form
| Barau FC |
DDLDWD |
| Kwara United |
DLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barau FC and Kwara United going into this match
Barau FC record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kwara United record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Barau FC vs Kwara United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Barau FC wins
0Draws
1Kwara United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Kwara United | Barau FC | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Barau FC | Kwara United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.