Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Rivers United vs Barau FC

0 – 0 Full time

21′Rivers United

Yakubu Gowon Stadium, Port Harcourt

Rivers United 68%
Draw 23%
Barau FC 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rivers United vs Barau FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rivers United vs Barau FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRivers UnitedDrawBarau FC
Model76.4%17.7%5.9%
Market65.5%24.9%9.6%
Final68.2%23.1%8.7%
Edge+2.7%-1.8%-0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Rivers United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 0.48.
  • The market prices Rivers United below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rivers United ↓ / Barau FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 14% 2 17% 3 12% 4+ 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Rivers United and Barau FC expected goals

Rivers United 2.20
Barau FC 0.48

Total expected goals: 2.68

Rivers United and Barau FC attack and defence ratings

Rivers United

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Barau FC

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rivers United vs Barau FC: result vs prediction

Rivers United 0 – 0 Barau FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Rivers United vs Barau FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rivers United 68.2% 1.47 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score No 65.5% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.3% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Rivers United win 52.5% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rivers United68.2%
Draw23.1%
Barau FC8.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes34.5%
No65.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.3%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)31.8%
Handicap -1Rivers United win52.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss23.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-016.6%
1-014.4%
3-012.2%

Rivers United vs Barau FC stats

Rivers United and Barau FC recent form

newest first
Rivers United DWDDWD
Barau FC DLDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rivers United and Barau FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rivers United record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Barau FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rivers United vs Barau FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Rivers United wins 0Draws 1Barau FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-25Rivers UnitedBarau FCNigeria Premier Football League1-0
2025-12-19Barau FCRivers UnitedNigeria Premier Football League4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rivers United vs Barau FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 24.9%, away 9.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.38 3.60 9.35
Bet365 1.33 3.75 10.00
Marathonbet 1.37 3.60 8.70

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.