Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United

0 – 0 Full time

21′Abia Warriors
45′Rivers United
45′Rivers United

Umuahia Township Stadium, Umuahia

Abia Warriors 39%
Draw 31%
Rivers United 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Abia Warriors vs Rivers United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAbia WarriorsDrawRivers United
Model28.0%30.1%41.9%
Market43.0%30.9%26.1%
Final39.3%30.7%30.0%
Edge-3.7%-0.2%+4.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Abia Warriors ↓ / Rivers United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Abia Warriors and Rivers United expected goals

Abia Warriors 1.05
Rivers United 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.38

Abia Warriors and Rivers United attack and defence ratings

Abia Warriors

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Rivers United

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United: result vs prediction

Abia Warriors 0 – 0 Rivers United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Abia Warriors 39.3% 2.55 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.0% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.0% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Abia Warriors39.3%
Draw30.7%
Rivers United30.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.4%
Under 2.557.6%
Both teams to scoreYes49.0%
No51.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.0%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.7%
Handicap -1Abia Warriors win11.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss72.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-111.1%
0-010.6%

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United stats

Abia Warriors and Rivers United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Abia Warriors and Rivers United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Abia Warriors record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Rivers United record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Abia Warriors wins 4Draws 4Rivers United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Rivers UnitedAbia WarriorsNigeria Premier Football League3-0
2025-12-07Abia WarriorsRivers UnitedNigeria Premier Football League1-1
2025-04-13Abia WarriorsRivers UnitedNPFL2-0
2024-11-24Rivers UnitedAbia WarriorsNPFL1-0
2024-05-15Abia WarriorsRivers UnitedNPFL2-0
2023-11-19Rivers UnitedAbia WarriorsNPFL2-1
2023-03-26Rivers UnitedAbia WarriorsNPFL1-1
2023-03-04Abia WarriorsRivers UnitedNPFL0-0
2022-06-12Rivers UnitedAbia WarriorsNPFL2-1
2022-02-17Abia WarriorsRivers UnitedNPFL1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Abia Warriors vs Rivers United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 30.9%, away 26.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 2.90 3.48
Bet365 2.10 2.90 3.40
Betano 2.18 2.95 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.00 3.60
Dafabet 2.15 3.00 3.55
Marathonbet 2.08 2.90 3.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 —
X 2.92 —
2 3.46 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .