Ranchers Bees
vs
Niger Tornadoes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ranchers Bees
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes
| Probability | Ranchers Bees | Draw | Niger Tornadoes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 29.6% | 13.8% |
| Market | 55.6% | 28.0% | 16.4% |
| Final | 55.9% | 28.4% | 15.7% |
| Edge | +0.9% | +1.7% | -2.6% |
Why Ranchers Bees
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes match preview
Ranchers Bees are set to face Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria Premier Football League on October 10, 2026. According to our model, Ranchers Bees have a 57% probability of winning, while the chances of a draw stand at 30% and Niger Tornadoes at 14%. The expected goals for Ranchers Bees are 1.40, compared to 0.56 for Niger Tornadoes, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Ranchers Bees have recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, Niger Tornadoes are struggling, having won just one of their last six games, with three losses and two draws. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Ranchers Bees, with a 19% probability.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ranchers Bees and Niger Tornadoes expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Ranchers Bees and Niger Tornadoes attack and defence ratings
Ranchers Bees
Niger Tornadoes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Ikorodu City v Kwara United — match page
- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
- Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance
Before and after this match
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranchers Bees | 55.9% | 1.79 | +0.9% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranchers Bees | 55.9% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Niger Tornadoes | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.6% |
| No | 66.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ranchers Bees win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 43.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.5% |
| 0-0 | 15.1% | |
| 2-0 | 13.8% |
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes stats
Ranchers Bees and Niger Tornadoes recent form
| Ranchers Bees |
LDLWLW |
| Niger Tornadoes |
WLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ranchers Bees and Niger Tornadoes season so far
Ranchers Bees record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Niger Tornadoes record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 28.0%, away 16.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.22 | 5.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.20 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.25 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.35 | 5.40 |