Sporting Lagos
vs
Bendel Insurance
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting Lagos
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance
| Probability | Sporting Lagos | Draw | Bendel Insurance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 22.7% | 14.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 62.5% | 22.7% | 14.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting Lagos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.88.
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance match preview
Sporting Lagos enters this match with a 62% probability of winning against Bendel Insurance, who have a 15% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0 in favor of Sporting Lagos, with an 11% likelihood. The expected goals for Sporting Lagos stand at 2.00, while Bendel Insurance is expected to score 0.88.
In terms of recent form, Sporting Lagos has recorded three draws, one win, and one loss in their last five matches, while Bendel Insurance has experienced two wins and three losses in the same timeframe. There is a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 52% chance of scoring at least once. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance attack and defence ratings
Sporting Lagos
Bendel Insurance
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
- Warri Wolves v Inter Lagos — match page
Before and after this match
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Lagos | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Lagos win | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Lagos | 62.5% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Bendel Insurance | 14.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Lagos win | 38.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 37.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.2% |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance stats
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance recent form
| Sporting Lagos |
DDDWLW |
| Bendel Insurance |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.