Sporting Lagos
vs
Bendel Insurance
2 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | K. Oke Solomon | ||
| 14′ | V. Samuel | ||
| 17′ | Bendel Insurance | ||
| 22′ | G. Olaniya | ||
| 53′ | Bendel Insurance | ||
| 54′ | Sporting Lagos |
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance
| Probability | Sporting Lagos | Draw | Bendel Insurance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 22.7% | 14.8% |
| Market | 52.8% | 27.9% | 19.3% |
| Final | 55.2% | 26.6% | 18.1% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -1.3% | -1.1% |
Why Sporting Lagos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.88.
- The market prices Sporting Lagos below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance attack and defence ratings
Sporting Lagos
Bendel Insurance
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance: result vs prediction
Sporting Lagos 2 – 1 Bendel Insurance
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Katsina United v Enyimba — match page
- Ikorodu City v Kwara United — match page
- Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
Before and after this match
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Lagos | 55.2% | 1.81 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Lagos win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Lagos | 55.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Bendel Insurance | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Lagos win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.2% |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance stats
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance recent form
| Sporting Lagos |
DDDWLW |
| Bendel Insurance |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance going into this match
Sporting Lagos record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Bendel Insurance record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-18 | Sporting Lagos | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-20 | Bendel Insurance | Sporting Lagos | NPFL | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 27.9%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.20 | 4.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.20 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.25 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.35 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.20 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .