Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Bendel Insurance
vs
Rivers United
2 – 1 Full time
Bendel Insurance
36%
Draw
31%
Rivers United
33%
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
| Probability | Bendel Insurance | Draw | Rivers United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.8% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bendel Insurance
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United expected goals
Bendel Insurance
1.16
Rivers United
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.26
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United attack and defence ratings
Bendel Insurance
Attack
1.38 +38%
Defence
1.38 +38%
Rivers United
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.57 -43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United: result vs prediction
Bendel Insurance 2 – 1 Rivers United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bendel Insurance | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bendel Insurance | 35.8% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Rivers United | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bendel Insurance win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United stats
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United recent form
| Bendel Insurance |
LWLWLW |
| Rivers United |
DDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United going into this match
Bendel Insurance record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Rivers United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
1Bendel Insurance wins
5Draws
3Rivers United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | Nigeria Premier Football League | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Bendel Insurance | Rivers United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-30 | Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-08 | Bendel Insurance | Rivers United | NPFL | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-12 | Bendel Insurance | Rivers United | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-28 | Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-09 | Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2019-05-26 | Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2019-02-20 | Bendel Insurance | Rivers United | NPFL | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.