Bendel Insurance
vs
Rivers United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bendel Insurance
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
| Probability | Bendel Insurance | Draw | Rivers United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.9% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bendel Insurance
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United match preview
Bendel Insurance faces Rivers United in the Nigeria Premier Football League with a slight edge in winning probability at 36%, compared to Rivers United's 34%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.24 for Bendel Insurance and 1.20 for Rivers United. Recent form shows Bendel Insurance with alternating results, while Rivers United has had a more stable run with four draws in their last six matches.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 44%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 51%. In their last two encounters, Bendel Insurance has yet to secure a win against Rivers United, who has one victory and one draw in that span. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United attack and defence ratings
Bendel Insurance
Rivers United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bendel Insurance | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bendel Insurance | 35.9% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Rivers United | 32.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bendel Insurance win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United stats
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United recent form
| Bendel Insurance |
LWLWLW |
| Rivers United |
DDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United season so far
Bendel Insurance record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Rivers United record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Rivers United | Bendel Insurance | Nigeria Premier Football League | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Bendel Insurance | Rivers United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.