Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Kun Khalifat FC
vs
Inter Lagos
1 – 0 Full time
Kun Khalifat FC
77%
Draw
17%
Inter Lagos
6%
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
| Probability | Kun Khalifat FC | Draw | Inter Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.3% | 16.8% | 5.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 77.3% | 16.8% | 5.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kun Khalifat FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Kun Khalifat FC and Inter Lagos expected goals
Kun Khalifat FC
2.31
Inter Lagos
0.52
Total expected goals: 2.83
Kun Khalifat FC and Inter Lagos attack and defence ratings
Kun Khalifat FC
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Inter Lagos
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos: result vs prediction
Kun Khalifat FC 1 – 0 Inter Lagos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
- Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kun Khalifat FC | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kun Khalifat FC win | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kun Khalifat FC | 77.3% |
| Draw | 16.8% | |
| Inter Lagos | 5.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kun Khalifat FC win | 54.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 22.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.8% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 3-0 | 12.2% |
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos stats
Kun Khalifat FC and Inter Lagos recent form
| Kun Khalifat FC |
DWLWLL |
| Inter Lagos |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kun Khalifat FC and Inter Lagos going into this match
Kun Khalifat FC record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Inter Lagos record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.