Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC

1 – 1 Full time

55′Kun Khalifat FC
58′A. Tijani

Pantami Stadium, Gombe

Doma United 66%
Draw 22%
Kun Khalifat FC 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDoma UnitedDrawKun Khalifat FC
Model64.3%22.3%13.4%
Market66.4%21.3%12.3%
Final65.9%21.6%12.6%
Edge-0.5%+0.2%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Doma United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.82.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Doma United ↓ / Kun Khalifat F → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC expected goals

Doma United 2.02
Kun Khalifat FC 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.84

Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC attack and defence ratings

Doma United

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Kun Khalifat FC

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC: result vs prediction

Doma United 1 – 1 Kun Khalifat FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Doma United 65.9% 1.52 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Doma United win 40.6% 2.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Doma United65.9%
Draw21.6%
Kun Khalifat FC12.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.0%
Under 2.546.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.6%
No50.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.4%
12 (either side)78.4%
X2 (draw or away)34.1%
Handicap -1Doma United win40.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss35.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.9%
1-010.8%
1-110.7%

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC stats

Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Doma United record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kun Khalifat FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 21.3%, away 12.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 4.20 7.70
Bet365 1.38 4.10 6.50
Marathonbet 1.34 4.20 7.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 —
X 4.20 —
2 7.30 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .