Doma United
vs
Kun Khalifat FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Doma United
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC
| Probability | Doma United | Draw | Kun Khalifat FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.3% | 22.3% | 13.4% |
| Market | 66.4% | 21.3% | 12.3% |
| Final | 65.9% | 21.6% | 12.6% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.0% | +1.1% |
Why Doma United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.82.
Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC match preview
Doma United enters this match against Kun Khalifat FC with a strong probability of winning at 76%. The model anticipates a most likely scoreline of 2-0, which aligns with Doma United's expected goals of 2.55 compared to Kun Khalifat FC's 0.73. Recent form shows Doma United with two wins in their last three matches, while Kun Khalifat FC has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings.
The model also indicates a 64% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair. Additionally, there is a 48% chance that both teams will score. With Doma United's recent performance and statistical edge, they appear well-positioned for this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC attack and defence ratings
Doma United
Kun Khalifat FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees — team news & stats
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
Before and after this match
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doma United | 65.9% | 1.52 | -2.1% | 1.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Doma United win | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doma United | 65.9% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Doma United win | 40.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 35.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC stats
Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC recent form
| Doma United |
LWLDLW |
| Kun Khalifat FC |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doma United and Kun Khalifat FC season so far
Doma United record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kun Khalifat FC record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 21.3%, away 12.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 4.20 | 7.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 4.20 | 7.30 |