Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Kano Pillars
vs
Katsina United
1 – 0 Full time
Kano Pillars
61%
Draw
23%
Katsina United
16%
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kano Pillars vs Katsina United
| Probability | Kano Pillars | Draw | Katsina United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.5% | 23.1% | 16.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.5% | 23.1% | 16.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kano Pillars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Kano Pillars and Katsina United expected goals
Kano Pillars
2.00
Katsina United
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.96
Kano Pillars and Katsina United attack and defence ratings
Kano Pillars
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Katsina United
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United: result vs prediction
Kano Pillars 1 – 0 Katsina United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees — team news & stats
- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 60.5% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Katsina United | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kano Pillars win | 37.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 39.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United stats
Kano Pillars and Katsina United recent form
| Kano Pillars |
LDDDDW |
| Katsina United |
WDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kano Pillars and Katsina United going into this match
Kano Pillars record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Katsina United record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Kano Pillars wins
1Draws
4Katsina United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Kano Pillars | Katsina United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Katsina United | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Katsina United | Kano Pillars | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Kano Pillars | Katsina United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-28 | Katsina United | Kano Pillars | NPFL | 3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Kano Pillars | Katsina United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-26 | Kano Pillars | Katsina United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2021-12-30 | Katsina United | Kano Pillars | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-23 | Katsina United | Kano Pillars | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-03 | Kano Pillars | Katsina United | NPFL | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.