Kano Pillars
vs
Katsina United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kano Pillars
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kano Pillars vs Katsina United
| Probability | Kano Pillars | Draw | Katsina United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.6% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.6% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kano Pillars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.96.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United match preview
Kano Pillars will host Katsina United in the Nigeria Premier Football League on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Kano Pillars has a 61% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 23% and Katsina United at 16%. The expected goals for Kano Pillars is 2.00, compared to Katsina United's 0.96. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Kano Pillars has struggled with five matches without a win, recording four draws and one loss, while Katsina United has shown more resilience with two wins, three draws, and one loss in their last six matches. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows both teams with one win each, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kano Pillars and Katsina United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Kano Pillars and Katsina United attack and defence ratings
Kano Pillars
Katsina United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 60.6% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Katsina United | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kano Pillars win | 37.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 39.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United stats
Kano Pillars and Katsina United recent form
| Kano Pillars |
LDDDDW |
| Katsina United |
WDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kano Pillars and Katsina United season so far
Kano Pillars record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Katsina United record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Kano Pillars | Katsina United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Katsina United | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.