Warri Wolves
vs
Kano Pillars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Warri Wolves
1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.55.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars
| Probability | Warri Wolves | Draw | Kano Pillars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 32.2% | 15.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.7% | 32.2% | 15.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Warri Wolves
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars match preview
Warri Wolves are set to face Kano Pillars in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Warri Wolves have a 53% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 32% and Kano Pillars at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Warri Wolves, with a 20% chance of occurring. Expected goals suggest Warri Wolves will generate 1.26, compared to Kano Pillars' 0.55.
In terms of recent form, Warri Wolves have recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Kano Pillars have a mixed record with one win, four draws, and one loss. The head-to-head statistics show that Warri Wolves have yet to secure a win against Kano Pillars in their last two encounters, with one draw and one loss.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Warri Wolves and Kano Pillars expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.80
Warri Wolves and Kano Pillars attack and defence ratings
Warri Wolves
Kano Pillars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page
- Katsina United vs Plateau United — team news & stats
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page
Before and after this match
Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 52.7% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Kano Pillars | 15.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.3% |
| No | 68.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warri Wolves win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.5% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.5% |
| 0-0 | 17.6% | |
| 2-0 | 13.0% |
Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars stats
Warri Wolves and Kano Pillars recent form
| Warri Wolves |
DWLLWD |
| Kano Pillars |
WLDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Warri Wolves and Kano Pillars season so far
Warri Wolves record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Kano Pillars record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Kano Pillars | Warri Wolves | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Warri Wolves | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 2021-05-09 | Warri Wolves | Kano Pillars | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-04 | Kano Pillars | Warri Wolves | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2020-01-05 | Kano Pillars | Warri Wolves | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2016-06-12 | Kano Pillars | Warri Wolves | NPFL | 2-2 |
| 2016-02-24 | Warri Wolves | Kano Pillars | NPFL | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.