Kano Pillars
vs
Nasarawa United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kano Pillars
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.67.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United
| Probability | Kano Pillars | Draw | Nasarawa United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.4% | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kano Pillars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.67.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United match preview
Kano Pillars will face Nasarawa United in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Kano Pillars holds a 50% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 31% and Nasarawa United at 19%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Kano Pillars, with an expected goals tally of 1.34 for Kano and 0.72 for Nasarawa.
Recent form shows Kano Pillars with a record of one win, one loss, and four draws in their last six matches, while Nasarawa United has secured three wins, one loss, and two draws in the same period. In their last two encounters, Kano Pillars has won both matches against Nasarawa United, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kano Pillars and Nasarawa United expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.71
Kano Pillars and Nasarawa United attack and defence ratings
Kano Pillars
Nasarawa United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers
- Shooting Stars v Abia Warriors — match page
Before and after this match
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 42.4% |
| Draw | 35.6% | |
| Nasarawa United | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.9% |
| No | 67.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kano Pillars win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.3% |
| 1-0 | 17.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United stats
Kano Pillars and Nasarawa United recent form
| Kano Pillars |
DWLDDD |
| Nasarawa United |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kano Pillars and Nasarawa United season so far
Kano Pillars record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Nasarawa United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Nasarawa United | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Kano Pillars | Nasarawa United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.